OGResearch Macro Portal Newsletter -- September 2022

September forecast highlights:

Haiti

• Unstable political environment will remain the key hindrance to economic development
• Misalignment of the exchange rate has not yet been fully corrected
• The inflation will remain high in the next few years

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Mozambique

• LNG extraction sector and help from international institutions support solid growth outlook
• Inflation will slow gradually amid dissipating external inflationary pressures
• The metical will weaken in the short term to restore competitiveness

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Tajikistan

• We expect GDP growth in Tajikistan to slow amid projected Russian protracted recession
• The current level of somoni is not sustainable 
• Inflation will accelerate after disinflationary factors fade away

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Forecast schedule:

Recent forecast updates:

• Haiti
• Mozambique
• Tajikistan

Upcoming forecast updates:

• DR Congo (Oct 5)
• Jordan (Oct 19)
• Tunisia (Oct 19)
• Ukraine (Oct 17)