OGResearch Macro Portal Newsletter -- February 2021

 

March 1, 2021

February forecast highlights:

Azerbaijan

  • Recovery in 2021 will be slow despite fiscal support
  • The manat will remain stable in 2021
  • The oil and gas sectors will continue to dominate the economy in the long run

Haiti

  • Unstable socio-political situation remains the key determinant of poor economic performance
  • Elections in 2021 should bring partial improvement
  • Exchange rate is currently strongly overvalued

Uzbekistan

  • Growth will recover this year, supported by loose fiscal stance and investment
  • Inflation will remain elevated due to price liberalization and wage growth
  • We remain conservative regarding the reform pace

Forecast schedule:

February full updates:

  • Azerbaijan
  • Haiti
  • Uzbekistan

Coming in March:

  • Georgia - Mar 22
  • Moldova - Mar 22
  • Myanmar - Mar 8