OGResearch Macro Portal Newsletter -- February 2021
March 1, 2021
February forecast highlights:
Azerbaijan
- Recovery in 2021 will be slow despite fiscal support
- The manat will remain stable in 2021
- The oil and gas sectors will continue to dominate the economy in the long run
Haiti
- Unstable socio-political situation remains the key determinant of poor economic performance
- Elections in 2021 should bring partial improvement
- Exchange rate is currently strongly overvalued
Uzbekistan
- Growth will recover this year, supported by loose fiscal stance and investment
- Inflation will remain elevated due to price liberalization and wage growth
- We remain conservative regarding the reform pace
Forecast schedule:
February full updates:
- Azerbaijan
- Haiti
- Uzbekistan
Coming in March:
- Georgia - Mar 22
- Moldova - Mar 22
- Myanmar - Mar 8