OGR Newsletter February 2019

February forecast highlights:

Armenia

• Recent economic performance below expectations
• Ongoing problems in the mining sector
• Fiscal consolidation set to continue further

Azerbaijan

• Inflation dropped on the back of stable exchange rate and low food prices
• Growth expected to accelerate in 2019
• New gas export capacities to come into operation in the coming years

Democratic Republic of the Congo

• Situation has not yet calmed down after the December presidential elections
• Pressures on inflation and depreciation have eased due to tighter policies
• Political and security situation to remain fragile

Myanmar

• Growth has moderated on account of slowing services and manufacturing
• FDI held back by uncertainty about sanctions
• Long-term outlook remains positive

Forecast schedule:

February full updates:

• Armenia
• Azerbaijan
• Democratic Republic of the Congo
• Myanmar

Coming next month:

• Belarus - Mar 18
• Mozambique - Mar 4
• Tajikistan - Mar 18

February interim updates:

• Mongolia

Coming interim updates:

• Mongolia - Mar 8
• Myanmar - Mar 8

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