OGResearch Macro Portal Newsletter -- October 2025

 

October 9, 2025

Angola

  • The growth outlook is poor as the oil sector continues grappling with maturing infrastructure
  • Inflation is likely to decline temporarily, supported by restrictive monetary policy
  • The currency will depreciate to narrow spread with the parallel market

Ethiopia

  • Sustained growth will follow a steady move toward private sector–led development
  • Inflation will stay in low double digits as further disinflation would require deeper reforms
  • The currency will gradually depreciate to support competitiveness

Kazakhstan

  • The growth will slow down markedly on the back of a fiscal consolidation
  • Currency depreciation will continue due to the high inflation and gloomy outlook for oil prices
  • As fiscal consolidation cools domestic demand, inflation will eventually decelerate

Read the forecasts in details on our Macro Portal.

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Forecast updates in September:

  • Mongolia
  • Tajikistan