OGResearch Macro Portal Newsletter -- November 2026

 

November 3, 2026

Bolivia‍

  • Growth is set to rebound but long term prospects remain subdued
  • Inflation will see a temporary uptick due to removal of subsidies
  • After the recent devaluation, Boliviano will follow a moderate depreciation path

Ethiopia

  • Growth will gradually moderate as fiscal policy tightens
  • Inflation will slow down in late 2027 as global oil prices moderate
  • Birr will continue to depreciate as the current account remains in deficit

Mongolia‍

  • Fiscal stimulus will support the economy next year with growth moderating in 2028
  • Inflation will peak in early 2027 as fuel price shocks overlap with the fiscal stimulus
  • Strong mining exports will keep Tugrik stable this year

Read the forecasts in detail on our Macro Portal.

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‍Forecast update in December:

  • Laos