OGResearch Macro Portal Newsletter -- June 2025

 

June 11, 2025

Haiti

  • Gang violence will continue driving the economic contraction next year
  • Level of fees on goods movement collected by the gangs will stabilize, decelerating the inflation
  • The exchange rate will remain broadly stable in the near term amid strong remittance inflows

Sierra Leone

  • Policy slippages increase risks surrounding grant inflows are increasing, deteriorating the country outlook
  • Lower grant inflow will increase pressure on the currency, accelerating the currency depreciation
  • Inflation will increase, fueled by faster depreciation

Ukraine

  • Foreign aid and post-war recovery will accelerate GDP growth
  • Improvement in food and energy supply will slow down inflation
  • We expect the currency to remain stable in the near term, supported by large aid disbursements

Read the forecasts in details on our Macro Portal.

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Forecast updates in June:

  • Liberia
  • Malawi
  • Mozambique