OGResearch Macro Portal Newsletter -- May 2019

May forecast highlights:

‍Ethiopia

• New political leadership has so far failed to reduce ethnic violence
• New prime minister aims to increase the role of private sector in the economy

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Ukraine

• New IMF program has helped restore confidence
• IMF support and reforms are crucial due to the high upcoming debt service
• NBU likely to further ease policy in the second half of the year                                                                                                                        

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Forecast schedule:

May full updates:

• Ethiopia
• Ukraine

Coming next month

• Georgia - June 17
• Kyrgyzstan - June 17
• Mongolia - June 3
• Myanmar - June 3