OGR Newsletter March 2019
March 29, 2019
March forecast highlights:
Belarus
- GDP growth slowing down, prospects are bleak
- Fiscal position threatened by reform of Russian oil export duties
- Central bank communicates ambitious inflation targets
Mozambique
- Country remains in default
- Preconditions for the return of the IMF have not been met yet
- LNG-related investments set to accelerate, but without substantial impact on GDP
Tajikistan
- Talks about a new IMF program ongoing
- Fiscal consolidation needed to prevent further increase in public debt burden
- The central bank pursues cautious policy
Forecast schedule:
March full updates:
- Belarus
- Mozambique
- Tajikistan
Coming next month:
- Moldova - April 9
- Sierra Leone - April 23
- Uzbekistan - April 23
March interim updates:
Coming interim updates:
