OGR Newsletter December 2018


December 31, 2018

OGResearch Macro Portal Newsletter -- December 2018

Thank you for being with us in 2018. We wish you peaceful holiday season and all the best for 2019.

December forecast highlights:


  • GDP growth to stay solid in the near-term
  • Structural reforms needed to maintain the solid growth in the long run
  • The risk of EU sanctions is low, but impact would be large


  • Growth to be supported by investment projects and good fundamentals
  • Inflation remains below target, but gradual return expected
  • Central bank to remain tight stance in 2019


  • GDP growth to remain strong, driven by mining sector mainly
  • Newly announced fiscal plans raise concerns
  • Recent increase in risk premium forced a rate hike

Forecast schedule:

December full updates:

  • Cambodia
  • Georgia
  • Mongolia

Coming next month:

  • Haiti - Jan 14
  • DR Congo - Jan 21
  • Kazakhstan - Jan 21

December interim updates:

  • Myanmar
  • Tajikistan

Coming interim updates:

  • Mongolia
  • Myanmar
  • Tajikistan