December 12, 2025
OGResearch Managing Partner David Vavra presented at the Finance for Development Lab and Shanghai Institutes for International Studies Workshop on Sustainable Development Finance in a Fragmented World in Shanghai. He shared insights from OGResearch's paper, “Hedging Public Sector’s FCY Debt Exposure – A Countercyclical Shock Dampening Mechanism?”.
David highlighted that the net open foreign-exchange position (NOFXP) is a key factor in determining resilience to exchange rate crises. A stronger NOFXP not only lowers the likelihood of a crisis but also reduces its impact on output and consumption. In addition, governments gain more room to use fiscal and monetary policy effectively during downturns by maintaining a well-hedged sovereign balance sheet.

